207 / 300 fully matched non-quarantined decisions. Minimum gate not reached.
EXPERIMENT H2 / H2_SPOOL_PIT_V3R2
Does Korea lead Binance?
한국 거래소의 사전 정보가 Binance 후보 발생 시점에서 추가적인 lead-lag 정보를 갖는지 prospective하게 검증합니다.
STATUSEFFECT BLINDEDManual review status: BLOCKED
BLOCKED. Current blocker: minimum_fully_matched_nonquarantined.
PASS / STALE. Experiment version, quarantine revision, clock checks and preregistration hash are consistent in the latest gate snapshot.
4 decisions are excluded from the confirmatory cohort while their original records remain preserved.
BLINDED. No automatic effect opening. Passing maturity only permits manual review.
LIVE OFF. No automatic execution change is permitted from this research arm.
Candidate→PIT Capture→Endpoint Contract→Quarantine→Maturity→Manual Review
WHY THIS MATTERS같은 초라도
같은 초라도
미래일 수 있다.
Cross-venue 연구에서는 event time, receive time, first-seen availability와 decision time을 구분해야 합니다. 과거 V1은 이 계약을 충분히 만족하지 못해 confirmatory use에서 동결됐고, V3R2는 새 prospective start 이후 표본만 별도로 수집합니다.
Verified from the research state at 2026-10-03 00:20 UTC. Public pages intentionally omit exact scoring formulas, actionable trading thresholds, live candidates, API credentials and sensitive infrastructure details. Upstream exact raw lineage remains partially UNKNOWN for some earlier V3R2 decisions.
COMMUNITY NOTES
Join the discussion →이 가설에 반론이 있나요?
데이터 조건, 시간축, selection bias, normalization에 대한 다른 해석을 남겨주세요.