Experiments before conclusions.
각 실험은 가설, 데이터 계약, 반증 조건, maturity gate와 version lineage를 분리해 기록합니다. 실패한 arm은 지우지 않고 frozen history로 남깁니다.
H2_SPOOL_PIT_V3R2
Candidate-conditioned Korea → Binance lead-lag research with first-seen availability and point-in-time controls.
H2 PIT V2 Family
Historical consumer-first-seen coverage pilot. Preserved for diagnostics but not pooled into V3R2 confirmation.
Cross-Venue V1
Frozen after point-in-time and consumer-availability audit failures. Historical outcomes remain preserved.
Protocol B Rich-L2 V1
Historical feature/outcome arm retained with known source-event-age and same-second availability limitations.
Guard PASS / STALE. Review BLOCKED. Effect metrics remain blinded.
Latest verified snapshot: 207 fully matched non-quarantined decisions against a preregistered minimum of 300, with 4 quarantined decisions preserved outside the confirmatory cohort. Verified 2026-10-03 00:20 UTC.
Open H2 status →“시장 전체에서 선행한다”와 “우리 후보 조건 안에서 추가 정보가 있다”는 다른 주장입니다. MKTRC는 이 둘을 구분하며, historical invalid/pilot arms를 active confirmatory arm에 합산하지 않습니다.